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President Lukashenko claims Belarus and Russian security prevented Moscow shooting suspects from entering Belarus. AdvertisementBelarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko said his country's security, with the help of Russia's Federal Security Service, tried to prevent Crocus City Hall shooting suspects from entering Belarus. "There was no chance they could enter Belarus," Lukashenko said, reported the state-run Belarusian Telegraph Agency. Lukashenko's statements on the concert hall terror suspects fleeing towards Belarus undermine the Kremlin's claims that the suspects tried to escape to Ukraine first, in an attempt to link Ukraine to the attack. No credible evidence has emerged to suggest that Ukraine was involved in the attack that killed at least 139 people.
Persons: Lukashenko, Putin, , Aleksandr Lukashenko, Maria Zakharova, Crocus Organizations: Service, Federal Security Service, Crocus, Belarusian Telegraph Agency, ISIS, Russian Ministry of Foreign Locations: Belarus, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Washington
Read previewSome of Russia's recent behavior in parts of Moldova has some experts sounding alarm bells, warning some of it looks similar to destabilizing activities before the invasion of Ukraine. Russia has accused Ukraine of drone striking a military base in Russian-occupied Moldova as pro-Russian figures seems to be actively destabilize the Moldovan government from within. Leading up to Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the government fought Russian separatists in the Donbas region. They eventually helped secure territory in the region for Russia, which later illegally put them under Russian control. AdvertisementAnd Moldovan officials recognize the danger as Russia increases pressure.
Persons: , Maria Zakharova, Alexander Shcherba, DANIEL MIHAILESCU, ISW, Putin, Mihai Popsoi Organizations: Service, Business, Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Supreme, for, Moldovan, Russian 14th Army, Getty, Ukraine, country's Intelligence, Security Services, AP Locations: Moldova, Ukraine, Russia, Moldovan, Moldova's Transnistria, Transnistria, Russian, Washington, Chisinau, AFP, Russian Moldovan, Soviet, Donbas
A US combat nurse told BI that Russia recently captured Avdiivka due to a "numbers game." download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Recently, Maciorowski helped evacuate Ukrainian soldiers from Avdiivka, which fell to Russia in February, having first arrived in the strategic city in October 2022. "Russia had way more resources, way more artillery, way more drones, way more troops." AdvertisementMembers of Ukraine's National Guard Omega Special Purpose fire an SPG-9 anti-tank grenade launcher toward Russian troops in the front line town of Avdiivka.
Persons: Rebekah Maciorowski, Maciorowski, , it's, Avdiivka Maciorowski, Avdiivka, Biden, Jens Stoltenberg, Olivier Hoslet, ", Stoltenberg, Kostya Organizations: Service, Ukraine's National Guard Omega, RFE, White, GOP, Institute for, NATO, Department for Ukraine, Getty Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Denver, Avdiivka, Donetsk, Brussels, Bakhmut
Read previewRussia is suspected of jamming the signals of a military plane carrying UK Defense Secretary Grant Shapps. A UK defense source told Business Insider that the GPS on the plane carrying Shapps back from a NATO exercise to Poland was temporarily jammed near Kaliningrad, Russia's Baltic enclave, on Thursday. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Related storiesThe report said that it's unclear if Shapp's plane was deliberately targeted, but the flight path was visible on flight tracking websites. Russia has a powerful electronic warfare capability, which enables its military to scramble GPS signals remotely.
Persons: , Grant Shapps, Shapps Organizations: Service, Business, RAF, Times, Norwegian Communication Authority, GPS, NATO Locations: Russia, NATO, Poland, Kaliningrad, Russia's, Russian, US, Baltic, Norway, Finland, Ukraine
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewRussia's war machine has picked up momentum in concert with its increased industrial capacity and decreased Ukrainian resistance, but current Russian manufacturing capabilities and stored combat systems won't last forever, war experts say. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has been a major factor in its ongoing labor shortage, an issue that can affect weapons manufacturing. Many Russian citizens who might have worked key jobs have either enlisted in the military or have fled the country. AdvertisementThe increased capacity of Russia's defense industrial base, ISW said, is "capable of sustaining Russia's current tempo of operations" in the short-term.
Persons: , Forbes, Russia's, ISW, Dara Massicot Organizations: Service, Institute, Business, Street Journal, Royal United Services Institute, Avdiivka, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace's, Eurasia Locations: Russian, Russian Soviet, Russia, London, Ukraine, International Peace's Russia
Russia is intensifying glide bomb attacks on Ukrainian defenses. Oleh Synyehubov, governor of the Kharkiv region, said last week that Russia was using glide bombs in attacks on that part of the front line. They said, according to the ISW, that Russia is seeking to mass produce the FAB-1500-M54 guided glide bomb and increase its use on the front line. Konrad Muzyka, director of the Poland-based Rochan defense consultancy, told The Washington Post that Russia was launching up to 100 glide bomb attacks a day. AdvertisementUkraine also has a glide bomb in its arsenal, the US-made JDAM, but reports say that Russian electronic warfare units have been able to intercept the bombs.
Persons: , Oleh Synyehubov, Synyehubov, Dmytro Lykhovyi, Konrad Muzyka, Muzyka Organizations: Service, FAB, Group of Forces, CNN, Washington Post, New York Times Locations: Russia, Soviet, Russian, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Ukraine, Krasnohorivka, Poland
Russia seems to be more heavily using its air force for glide bomb attacks, the ISW said. The ISW had previously released an assessment on Monday that suggested Ukraine's reported successes had caused Russia's air force to scale back its flights. Experts warned that it would be devastating for Ukraine if Russia continued to be able to do this. Russia using glide bombs near Avdiivka may be why Ukraine has been able to shoot down so many Russian jets, experts previously told Business Insider. Russian aircraft need to fly higher to launch them, giving Ukraine's weaponry more time to target and hit them, they said.
Persons: That's, , Russian Su, ISW, Ukraine's Organizations: Service, Ukraine, Washington DC, New York Times, Russian Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Avdiivka
Ukraine has achieved a series of astonishing victories over Russia in the Black Sea. Ukrainian military intelligence said on Tuesday that it had scored another success in its campaign against Russia's much bigger Russian Black Sea fleet. The Institute for the Study of War, a US think tank, said Russian military bloggers, who are often ultranationalists with close military links, are "decrying the Russian military command's lack of response to the incident and mounting a wider critique against the bureaucratic inertia of the Russian military apparatus." Military blogger Two majors said that commanders often try to place the blame elsewhere to cover up their mistakes. Ukraine has used ingenuity and improvisation to offset its disadvantages in the Black Sea, which Russia's navy has historically dominated.
Persons: , Sergei Kotov, Dva Maiyora Organizations: Service, Directorate of Intelligence, Ministry of Defense, Telegram, Foreign Policy Research Institute Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Kerch, US, Rybar, Sevastopol, Crimea
Ukrainian soldiers report inconsistent training and combat abilities in Russian troops. Despite the ineffectiveness of poorly trained troops, these waves can strain Ukrainian defenders. Advertisement"Russian forces likely used poorly trained personnel to carry out mass daily attacks on Ukrainian positions and employed trained personnel with better equipment to assault specific positions after exhausting Ukrainian forces," they said. ISW experts say it's also possible that Russia used "Storm" units, penal units made up of convicts, in Avdiivka. Given that these convicts are poorly trained for battle, experts have also noted they are usually ineffective and these units provide "marginal combat power."
Persons: , Shultz, it's, Wagner, ISW, 3rd Brigade Mykola Zynkevych's Organizations: Service, Washington Post, 3rd Assault Brigade, National Security, Institute for, 2nd Assault Battalion, 3rd Brigade Locations: Avdiivka, Ukrainian, Russia
Russia is reducing its military flights in the Ukraine war, a report said. It comes Ukraine shot down a series of Russian planes. Ukraine has used a range of tactics to counter Russia's air dominance. A Ukrainian kill streak against Russian fighter jets appears to have caused Russia's air force to scale back on flights, a think tank said. AdvertisementUkraine managed to take down 15 of Russia's combat jets in two weeks, according to Ukrainian officials.
Persons: Organizations: Russian, Service, The, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, US
Russian troops keep on gathering in groups, military bloggers said, according to a think tank. Ukraine is using drones and missiles for strikes amid intensifying Russian attacks. It's the latest in a series of similar strikes in which Ukraine has used precision-guided US-made HIMARS missiles to hit Russian troops gathering miles behind the front line. Ukraine has also used exploding drones to target groups of Russian troops and armored vehicles gathering to attempt to break through Ukrainian defensive lines. AdvertisementThe ISW said that Russian milbloggers, who have been an important source of independent information on the Russian military during the Ukraine war, believe that inept Russian commanders are to blame.
Persons: Organizations: Ukrainian, Service Locations: Ukraine, Donetsk Oblast, Russian, Ukrainian, Donetsk, Kherson Oblast, Russia, Avdiikva
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewRussian forces are slowly advancing deeper into parts of eastern Ukraine, building off their momentum after capturing the war-torn city of Avdiivka nearly two weeks ago. AdvertisementUkrainian soldiers of 47th Mechanized Brigade drives on M2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicle on Avdiivka direction on Feb. 23, 2024 in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine. Photo by Vitalii Nosach/Global Images Ukraine via Getty Images"These tactical gains serve primarily to consolidate Russian positions around Avdiivka," the latest update said. Ukrainian soldiers of Brigade 71 fire an artillery in the direction of Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on Feb. 18, 2024.
Persons: , Vitalii Nosach, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Vladimir Putin's, Avdiivka, John Kirby, Biden, Kirby, aren't Organizations: Service, Business, Avdiivka, Kyiv, 47th Mechanized Brigade, Bradley, Getty, Institute for, Brigade, Bakhmut, Moscow, Directorate of Intelligence, Ministry of Defense, White, National Security, Republican Locations: Ukraine, Avdiivka, Moscow, Ukrainian, Russia, Lastochkyne, Donetsk Oblast, Anadolu, Russian, Ukraine's, Donetsk
Russian forces seized the Ukrainian town of Avdiivka earlier this month but paid a heavy price. The ISW said the number of Russian fatalities likely exceeds those killed in the Soviet-Afghan war. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore Russian soldiers are likely to have died seizing the Ukrainian town of Avdiivka than in the 10-year Soviet-Afghan war, the think tank the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said. Russian forces began their brutal campaign to seize the town in eastern Ukraine in October and finally succeeded earlier this month.
Persons: ISW, Organizations: Service, for, Business Locations: Avdiivka, Soviet, Russia, Ukraine, Russian
And if it continues or expands, a real possibility as Ukrainian air defenses are under significant stress, it could be "devastating," war experts said. Confirming its retreat from the area, Ukraine said it was saving troops from being fully surrounded by Russian troops. This activity appears to indicate the employment of a combined arms tactic involving having air forces support maneuver elements on the ground. Ukraine's air defenses have largely denied Russia air superiority, preventing its jets and aircraft from conducting significant air campaigns since the beginning of the war. Even "recurring temporary localized and limited Russian air superiority," ISW explained in a recent update, "would likely allow Russian forces to more aggressively pursue operational advances along the frontline."
Persons: , Vladimir Putin's, George Barros, Barros, Vlada, hasn't, ISW, Kostiantyn, Avdiivka, it's, John Kirby, Kirby, It's, Putin Organizations: Service, Bakhmut, The Institute, Washington DC, Institute for, Armored Infantry, National Security, Chemical Plant, Ukraine Locations: Russian, Russia, Avdiivka, Ukrainian, Donetsk, Moscow, Ukraine, Washington, Avdiivka district, Luhansk, Lastochkino, MLRS
AdvertisementWestern delays in ammunition and aid to Ukraine have likely helped Russia launch offensive operations on at least three fronts, military experts said. These shortages, and the potential for no further aid being given by the US, have "likely encouraged Russian forces to exploit the situation" to launch offensive operations over the past few weeks, it said. AdvertisementIt warned that these attacks will "likely hinder Ukrainian forces from preparing personnel and materiel for renewed counteroffensive operations." The White House said this month that Ukraine could lose Avdiivka because of a lack of ammunition, despite Russia seeing larger losses there. Ukraine is busy trying to increase its domestic production of ammunition, but Russia, which is much larger and has more domestic resources, is also doing the same.
Persons: John Kirby, Avdiivka Organizations: Washington DC, White, National Security, BBC Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Kharkiv, Luhansk, Ukraine's, Kupyansk, Avdiivka, Robotyne, Zaporizhia, Ukrainian
In December, US officials estimated that the Russian military has suffered more than 13,000 casualties along the Avdiivka-Novopavlivka axis in just a few weeks. The Ukrainian military acknowledged in December that the concentration of Russian forces would ultimately prevail. And ISW warns that “Ukrainian forces may have to stabilize the frontline by counter-attacking in the area where Russian forces are trying to close the encirclement of Ukrainian forces in Avdiivka in order to conduct an orderly withdrawal.”Much of Avdiivka now lies in ruins. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty/Serhii Nuzhnenko via ReutersThere are already indications that not all Ukrainian units were able to escape an ever-tightening noose. The Ukrainians are adapting swiftly to a new stance of active defense that will continue to bleed Russian forces.
Persons: General Valery Zaluzhnyi, Maksym Zhoryn, Ukraine’s, Oleksandr Syrskyi, Nuzhnenko, Oleksandr Tarnavskyi, Zhorin, laud, Bakhmut, Volodymr Zelensky, ” Zelensky, Avdiivka Organizations: CNN, Kyiv, Ukrainian Armed Forces, Ukraine’s 3rd Assault Brigade, Institute for, Radio Free, Radio Liberty, Reuters, Russian Defense, Munich Locations: Avdiivka, Donetsk, Radio Free Europe, Kharkiv, Mariinka, Russia, Europe
Read previewRussia's monthslong effort to capture a Ukrainian town shows it still hasn't learned how to successfully encircle Ukraine's troops, war analysts said. Avdiivka, a town in eastern Ukraine, has been part of the fighting since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. A bird's-eye view of the destroyed buildings of the city of Avdiivka on October 26, 2023 in Avdiivka, Ukraine. "Russian forces have achieved neither in Avdiivka," the ISW said, adding that they have repeatedly failed to envelop or encircle Ukrainian forces throughout the war. AdvertisementA Ukrainian soldier who was hit by shrapnel while fighting in Avdiivka told the BBC this week: "It's difficult.
Persons: , hasn't, ISW, Kostya, John Kirby, it's, Avdiivka Organizations: Service, Washington DC, for, Business, Russia, White, Getty Images, Ukraine, National Security, BBC Locations: Ukrainian, Ukraine's, Ukraine, Russia, Avdiivka, Getty Images Russia
But it can sustain such losses for another two years, war analysts said. AdvertisementRussia can sustain major losses in Ukraine for another two years, according to war analysts. AdvertisementUkraine has so far been able to repel and erode Russian forces, relying heavily on ongoing Western assistance, the RUSI said. The quality of Russian forces, meanwhile, is unlikely to improve as long as Ukraine can repel attacks, it said. AdvertisementTo achieve successful offensive operations, Russia will likely need to deploy combat-effective and well-equipped units and formations at scale, it said.
Persons: RUSI, Organizations: Military, Service, The, Royal United Services Institute, International Institute for Strategic Studies, CNN, Ministry of Defence Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian, Kremlin
But House Republicans under Speaker Mike Johnson have no plans to take up the deal, effectively blocking the $60 billion in Ukraine aid it includes. AdvertisementThe war has reached a stalemate even with this support, and a sudden shortage as could come this year drastically weakens Ukraine’s war effort against Russia, analysts told Business Insider. Without US arms support, Ukraine will simply be outgunned and more of its troops will die, experts warn. Other aid will save Ukraine just for monthsA Ukrainian defeat would not be immediate, as Europe could step up its military aid, Herbst said. Losing Ukraine would come at a devastating cost for NATO and the USThese dynamics are perilous for Ukraine and its backers.
Persons: , Mike Johnson, John Herbst, Herbst, Ukraine’s, Gustav Gressel, Stringer Mark Cancian, they'd, Cancian, Vladimir Putin, Johnson, Hakeem Jeffries Organizations: Service, Business, Patriot, Council’s Eurasia Center, Archer Artillery, Roman, Getty, American Enterprise Institute, Martens, European Council, Foreign Relations, REUTERS, US Marine Corps, Center for Strategic, International Studies, NATO, Russia, Democrats, House Republicans Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan, Russia, Ukrainian, Iran, North Korea, Donetsk Oblast, Europe, Zaporizhzhia region, Russian, Soviet Union, Belarus, Africa, Balkans, America
Russia appears poised to bar the only remaining anti-war candidate from presidential election. Election officials rejected almost 10,000 of the signatures Nadezhdin needed to run. Nadezhdin's popularity appears larger than expected, experts say, and may hurt perceptions of Putin and the war. AdvertisementAhead of next month's presidential election, Russian officials appear poised to bar the only anti-war candidate, Boris Nadezhdin, from running. Russian election law states that candidates have to gather 100,000 signatures to run.
Persons: Putin, , Boris Nadezhdin, Nadezhdin, Vladimir Putin, didn't, it'll, ISW, Alexei Navalny's, Ivan Zhdanov, Zhdanov Organizations: Service, Kremlin, Commission, Russian, Washington Post, Putin, Institute Locations: Russia, Ukraine, US
Russia is drafting hundreds of thousands of recruits to launch major assaults in Ukraine. The Institute for the Study of War said that Russia likely can't sustain a greater mobilization. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementRussia isn't making enough weapons to arm the potential massive uptick in troops being drafted to fight in Ukraine, according to military experts. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: it's, , Kostyantyn Mashovets Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian
Read previewRussian military bloggers have hit out at Kremlin propagandists after they ignored recent "blunders" made by the Russian army, the think tank the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said. In the assault, Russian forces reportedly came under attack from Ukrainian drones and sustained heavy losses, losing a column of armored vehicles, including several T-72 tanks and infantry fighting vehicles. Russian military bloggers slammed the scenes, which were shared by Ukraine's Ministry of Defense on X, formerly Twitter. So that [senior Russian army commanders] can report they are taking decisive action, and so that they can earn medals by throwing away the lives of their own people?" AdvertisementBloggers also criticised Russian military commanders following the assault, with one accusing them of "complete stupidity and incompetence," the ISW said.
Persons: , Vladimir Solovyov's, milblogger Maksim Kalashnikov, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, for, Ukraine's 72nd Mechanized Infantry Brigade, Business, Ukraine's Ministry of Defense, 72nd Mechanized Brigade, , Russia, US Institute of Peace Locations: Russian, Novomykhailivka, Donbas, Ukraine, Ukrainian, @DefenceU, Kyiv
Read previewUkrainian forces deployed FPV attack drones to help obliterate an entire column of Russian armored vehicles, Metro reports. Video appears to show Ukraine exploding drones, finishing off 11 tanks and armored vehicles. Russian military bloggers have become increasingly frustrated by the Russian military's tactics. Russian forces continue self-sabotage by gathering in large groups to attack Ukrainian positions, making them an easy target for Ukrainian drones. Another Kremlin-affiliated milblogger argued that the Russian military command needs to stop attacking in mechanized columns due to repeated high equipment losses.
Persons: , Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Putin, milblogger, Gleb Molchanov Organizations: Service, Business, Metro, CNN News, Putin's, Russian, Ukraine, Guardian Locations: Ukraine, Novomykhailivka, Donetsk, Russia, Russian, US, Ukrainian, Moscow, Saint Petersburg
Russian military bloggers criticized Russian tactics in Ukraine, a US think tank said. They said Russian troops continue to gather in large groups, enabling drones to target them. The Institute for the Study of War, a US think tank, said that influential Russian milbloggers were expressing frustration at tactical blunders by the Russian military. The think tank cited one Russian milblogger who it said questioned how commanders could fail to account for Ukrainian drones and afford to lose so much manpower, accusing them of "complete stupidity and incompetence." It matters because it provides insight into the tactical mistakes that have repeatedly impacted Russia's Ukraine invasion, causing huge casualties and equipment losses.
Persons: , milbloggers, they've, Russia's Organizations: Service, CNN Locations: Ukraine, US, Russian, Russia
Russian forces may be trying to make tactical gains by brute force, as they did in the bloody battle of Bakhmut, per the ISW. Future fighting in the city will likely resemble other instances of urban warfare in Ukraine, where Russian forces conducted attritional assaults for marginal gains, the ISW said. Ukrainian counter-attacks are holding Russian forces back, and the UK Ministry of Defence said the city will likely remain in Ukrainian control over the coming weeks. Ukrainian forces' main supply route remains intact, and they are conducting local counter-attacks against Russian troops, too, the UK said. Russian forces are reportedly attempting to bypass Ukrainian fortifications by trying to enter the city's edges using service tunnels.
Persons: , Major Maxim Morozov Organizations: Service, Business, UK Ministry of Defense, of Internal, intel, Russian, UK Ministry of Defence Locations: Avdiivka, Russia, Ukrainian, Bakhmut, Ukraine
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